Abstract
BACKGROUND: Seizure is a signifcant complication in patients under acute admissionfor aneurysmal SAH and could result in poor outcomes. Treatment strategies to optimizemanagement will beneft from methods to better identify at-risk patients.OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a risk score for convulsive seizure during acuteadmission for SAH.METHODS: A risk score was developed in 1500 patients from a single tertiary hospital andexternally validated in 852 patients. Candidate predictors were identifed by systematicreview of the literature and were included in a backward stepwise logistic regression modelwith in-hospital seizure as a dependent variable. The risk score was assessed for discrimination using the area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) and forcalibration using a goodness-of-ft test.RESULTS: The SAFARI score, based on 4 items (age = 60 yr, seizure occurrence before hospitalization, ruptured aneurysm in the anterior circulation, and hydrocephalus requiringcerebrospinal fluid diversion), had AUC = 0.77, 95% confdence interval (CI): 0.73-0.82 in thedevelopment cohort. The validation cohort had AUC = 0.65, 95% CI 0.56-0.73. A calibratedincrease in the risk of seizure was noted with increasing SAFARI score points.CONCLUSION: The SAFARI score is a simple tool that adequately stratifed SAH patientsaccording to their risk for seizure using a few readily derived predictor items. It maycontribute to a more individualized management of seizure following SAH.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 887-893 |
| Number of pages | 7 |
| Journal | Neurosurgery |
| Volume | 82 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Jun 2018 |
Keywords
- Adult
- Aged
- Aneurysm, Ruptured/classification
- Cohort Studies
- Female
- Humans
- Male
- Middle Aged
- Risk Factors
- Seizures/etiology
- Sensitivity and Specificity
- Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/classification
- Prognosis
- Subarachnoid hemorrhage
- Risk factors
- Intracranial aneurysm
- Seizure
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