The basic reproduction ratio R0 for a sexually transmitted disease in pair formation model with two types of pairs

Mirjam Kretzschmar*, Johannes C. Jager, Dick P. Reinking, Gertjan Van Zessen, Henk Brouwers

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

24 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We study a model for pair formation and separation with two types of pairs which differ in average duration. A fraction f{hook} of all newly formed pairs have a long duration (denoted by "steady"), the remaining fraction 1 - f{hook} have a short duration ("casual"). This distinction is motivated by data about the survival times of partnerships in a sociological survey. In this population we consider a sexually transmitted disease, which can have different transmission rates in steady and in casual partnerships. We investigate under which conditions an epidemic can occur after introduction of the disease into a population where the process of pair formation and separation is at equilibrium. If there is no recovery we can compute an explicit expression for the basic reproduction ratio R0; if we take recovery into account we can derive a condition for the stability of the disease-free equilibrium which is equivalent to R0 < 1. We discuss how R0 depends on various model parameters.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)181-205
Number of pages25
JournalMathematical Biosciences
Volume124
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 1994

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