Short- and long-term prognostic value of the TIMI risk score after primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the short- and long-term predictive value of the TIMI risk score regarding mortality for patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

BACKGROUND: Data on the long-term predictive value of the TIMI risk score is sparse.

METHODS: We used data from 3,609 STEMI patients undergoing PPCI in a high-volume PCI center in The Netherlands. Cumulative event rates according to TIMI score variables were estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. The original TIMI risk score was modified based on the availability of the data in the single center registry.

RESULTS: Higher TIMI scores were associated with significantly higher mortality at short- and long-term follow-up (P < 0.001 for both). Age and Killip Class IV at presentation were significant predictors for both short- and long-term mortality. Patients with an anterior MI, heart frequence >100 beats per minute, or systolic blood pressure <100 mmHG had a worse short-term prognosis compared to those who had not. However, long-term mortality was nonsignificantly different. The presence of a history of diabetes/hypertension and weight had only long-term prognostic value. Time to PPCI did not have any prognostic value.

CONCLUSIONS: Our current report shows that the TIMI risk score has both short- and long-term discriminative value. The different variables contained in the TIMI risk score predict short-term prognosis, others predominantly long-term mortality, whereas some are predictive for both.