Abstract
BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is an important cause of infant mortality. Here, we estimated the potential impact of maternal vaccination against RSV on life-threatening RSV infection in infants.
METHODS: We developed a mathematical model for maternal vaccine-induced antibody dynamics and used characteristics of a maternal RSV vaccine currently in phase 3 of clinical development. The model was applied to data from two cohorts of children younger than 12 months with RSV-related paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission in the United Kingdom (n = 370) and the Netherlands (n = 167), and a cohort of 211 children younger than 12 months with RSV-related in-hospital death from 20 countries worldwide.
RESULTS: Our model predicted that, depending on vaccine efficiency, maternal vaccination at 30 weeks' gestational age could have prevented 62-75% of RSV-related PICU admissions in the United Kingdom and 76-87% in the Netherlands. For the global mortality cohort, the model predicted that maternal vaccination could have prevented 29-48% of RSV-related in-hospital deaths. Preterm children and children with comorbidities were predicted to benefit less than (healthy) term children.
CONCLUSIONS: Maternal vaccination against RSV may substantially decrease life-threatening RSV infections in infants.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 4693-4700 |
Number of pages | 8 |
Journal | Vaccine |
Volume | 36 |
Issue number | 31 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 25 Jul 2018 |
Keywords
- Infant mortality
- Life-threatening infections
- Maternal vaccination
- Mathematical model
- RSV