Network dynamics of momentary affect states and future course of psychopathology in adolescents

Anna Kuranova; Johanna T W Wigman; Claudia Menne-Lothmann; Jeroen Decoster; Ruud van Winkel; Philippe Delespaul; Marjan Drukker; Marc de Hert; Catherine Derom; Evert Thiery; Bart P F Rutten; Nele Jacobs; Jim van Os; Albertine J Oldehinkel; Sanne H Booij; Marieke Wichers

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0247458

Network dynamics of momentary affect states and future course of psychopathology in adolescents

Anna Kuranova, Johanna T W Wigman, Claudia Menne-Lothmann, Jeroen Decoster, Ruud van Winkel, Philippe Delespaul, Marjan Drukker, Marc de Hert, Catherine Derom, Evert Thiery, Bart P F Rutten, Nele Jacobs, Jim van Os, Albertine J Oldehinkel, Sanne H Booij, Marieke Wichers

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Recent theories argue that an interplay between (i.e., network of) experiences, thoughts and affect in daily life may underlie the development of psychopathology.

OBJECTIVE: To prospectively examine whether network dynamics of everyday affect states are associated with a future course of psychopathology in adolescents at an increased risk of mental disorders.

METHODS: 159 adolescents from the East-Flanders Prospective Twin Study cohort participated in the study. At baseline, their momentary affect states were assessed using the Experience Sampling Method (ESM). The course of psychopathology was operationalized as the change in the Symptom Checklist-90 sum score after 1 year. Two groups were defined: one with a stable level (n = 81) and one with an increasing level (n = 78) of SCL-symptom severity. Group-level network dynamics of momentary positive and negative affect states were compared between groups.

RESULTS: The group with increasing symptoms showed a stronger connections between negative affect states and their higher influence on positive states, as well as higher proneness to form 'vicious cycles', compared to the stable group. Based on permutation tests, these differences were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: Although not statistically significant, some qualitative differences were observed between the networks of the two groups. More studies are needed to determine the value of momentary affect networks for predicting the course of psychopathology.

Original language	English
Article number	e0247458
Number of pages	18
Journal	PLoS ONE
Volume	16
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0247458
Publication status	Published - Mar 2021

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Kuranova, A., Wigman, J. T. W., Menne-Lothmann, C., Decoster, J., van Winkel, R., Delespaul, P., Drukker, M., de Hert, M., Derom, C., Thiery, E., Rutten, B. P. F., Jacobs, N., van Os, J., Oldehinkel, A. J., Booij, S. H., & Wichers, M. (2021). Network dynamics of momentary affect states and future course of psychopathology in adolescents. PLoS ONE, 16(3), Article e0247458. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0247458

@article{f34ece58fe824d03b476d39e4cad2246,

title = "Network dynamics of momentary affect states and future course of psychopathology in adolescents",

abstract = "BACKGROUND: Recent theories argue that an interplay between (i.e., network of) experiences, thoughts and affect in daily life may underlie the development of psychopathology.OBJECTIVE: To prospectively examine whether network dynamics of everyday affect states are associated with a future course of psychopathology in adolescents at an increased risk of mental disorders.METHODS: 159 adolescents from the East-Flanders Prospective Twin Study cohort participated in the study. At baseline, their momentary affect states were assessed using the Experience Sampling Method (ESM). The course of psychopathology was operationalized as the change in the Symptom Checklist-90 sum score after 1 year. Two groups were defined: one with a stable level (n = 81) and one with an increasing level (n = 78) of SCL-symptom severity. Group-level network dynamics of momentary positive and negative affect states were compared between groups.RESULTS: The group with increasing symptoms showed a stronger connections between negative affect states and their higher influence on positive states, as well as higher proneness to form 'vicious cycles', compared to the stable group. Based on permutation tests, these differences were not statistically significant.CONCLUSION: Although not statistically significant, some qualitative differences were observed between the networks of the two groups. More studies are needed to determine the value of momentary affect networks for predicting the course of psychopathology.",

author = "Anna Kuranova and Wigman, {Johanna T W} and Claudia Menne-Lothmann and Jeroen Decoster and {van Winkel}, Ruud and Philippe Delespaul and Marjan Drukker and {de Hert}, Marc and Catherine Derom and Evert Thiery and Rutten, {Bart P F} and Nele Jacobs and {van Os}, Jim and Oldehinkel, {Albertine J} and Booij, {Sanne H} and Marieke Wichers",

note = "Publisher Copyright: Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021 Kuranova et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.",

year = "2021",

month = mar,

doi = "10.1371/journal.pone.0247458",

language = "English",

volume = "16",

journal = "PLoS ONE",

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number = "3",

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Kuranova, A, Wigman, JTW, Menne-Lothmann, C, Decoster, J, van Winkel, R, Delespaul, P, Drukker, M, de Hert, M, Derom, C, Thiery, E, Rutten, BPF, Jacobs, N, van Os, J, Oldehinkel, AJ, Booij, SH & Wichers, M 2021, 'Network dynamics of momentary affect states and future course of psychopathology in adolescents', PLoS ONE, vol. 16, no. 3, e0247458. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0247458

TY - JOUR

T1 - Network dynamics of momentary affect states and future course of psychopathology in adolescents

AU - Kuranova, Anna

AU - Wigman, Johanna T W

AU - Menne-Lothmann, Claudia

AU - Decoster, Jeroen

AU - van Winkel, Ruud

AU - Delespaul, Philippe

AU - Drukker, Marjan

AU - de Hert, Marc

AU - Derom, Catherine

AU - Thiery, Evert

AU - Rutten, Bart P F

AU - Jacobs, Nele

AU - van Os, Jim

AU - Oldehinkel, Albertine J

AU - Booij, Sanne H

AU - Wichers, Marieke

N1 - Publisher Copyright: Copyright: © 2021 Kuranova et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

PY - 2021/3

Y1 - 2021/3

N2 - BACKGROUND: Recent theories argue that an interplay between (i.e., network of) experiences, thoughts and affect in daily life may underlie the development of psychopathology.OBJECTIVE: To prospectively examine whether network dynamics of everyday affect states are associated with a future course of psychopathology in adolescents at an increased risk of mental disorders.METHODS: 159 adolescents from the East-Flanders Prospective Twin Study cohort participated in the study. At baseline, their momentary affect states were assessed using the Experience Sampling Method (ESM). The course of psychopathology was operationalized as the change in the Symptom Checklist-90 sum score after 1 year. Two groups were defined: one with a stable level (n = 81) and one with an increasing level (n = 78) of SCL-symptom severity. Group-level network dynamics of momentary positive and negative affect states were compared between groups.RESULTS: The group with increasing symptoms showed a stronger connections between negative affect states and their higher influence on positive states, as well as higher proneness to form 'vicious cycles', compared to the stable group. Based on permutation tests, these differences were not statistically significant.CONCLUSION: Although not statistically significant, some qualitative differences were observed between the networks of the two groups. More studies are needed to determine the value of momentary affect networks for predicting the course of psychopathology.

AB - BACKGROUND: Recent theories argue that an interplay between (i.e., network of) experiences, thoughts and affect in daily life may underlie the development of psychopathology.OBJECTIVE: To prospectively examine whether network dynamics of everyday affect states are associated with a future course of psychopathology in adolescents at an increased risk of mental disorders.METHODS: 159 adolescents from the East-Flanders Prospective Twin Study cohort participated in the study. At baseline, their momentary affect states were assessed using the Experience Sampling Method (ESM). The course of psychopathology was operationalized as the change in the Symptom Checklist-90 sum score after 1 year. Two groups were defined: one with a stable level (n = 81) and one with an increasing level (n = 78) of SCL-symptom severity. Group-level network dynamics of momentary positive and negative affect states were compared between groups.RESULTS: The group with increasing symptoms showed a stronger connections between negative affect states and their higher influence on positive states, as well as higher proneness to form 'vicious cycles', compared to the stable group. Based on permutation tests, these differences were not statistically significant.CONCLUSION: Although not statistically significant, some qualitative differences were observed between the networks of the two groups. More studies are needed to determine the value of momentary affect networks for predicting the course of psychopathology.

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U2 - 10.1371/journal.pone.0247458

DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0247458

M3 - Article

C2 - 33661971

SN - 1932-6203

VL - 16

JO - PLoS ONE

JF - PLoS ONE

IS - 3

M1 - e0247458

ER -

Network dynamics of momentary affect states and future course of psychopathology in adolescents

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