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Learning a Causal Model for Intracranial Pressure in Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury

  • Alessio Zanga*
  • , Francesca Graziano
  • , Giuseppe Citerio
  • , Paola Rebora
  • , Stefania Galiberti
  • , Shubhayu Bhattacharyay
  • , David K. Menon
  • , Ewout W. Steyerberg
  • , Fabio Stella
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Traumatic brain injury is a sequence of pathophysiological events that originates from an acute biomechanical insult. One of the major challenges physician face routinely in traumatic brain injury patients is the management of intracranial pressure. Elevated intracranial pressure may lead to herniation, causing injury through compression of brain tissue. Studying the underlying mechanism of intracranial pressure is crucial to develop personalized therapy planning. In this paper, we build a causal model from clinical experts knowledge and partially-observed event-based data to represent the trajectory of patients over time. We show how to derive insights on the effectiveness of multiple treatments allocations from the model parameters and evaluate the model against treatment policies reported in clinical guidelines.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationArtificial Intelligence for Healthcare, and Hybrid Models for Coupling Deductive and Inductive Reasoning - 1st International Joint Conference, HC@AIxIA+HYDRA 2025, Proceedings
EditorsPierangela Bruno, Francesco Calimeri, Giorgio Terracina, Francesco Cauteruccio, Mauro Dragoni, Fabio Stella
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages270-282
Number of pages13
ISBN (Print)9783032167071
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2026
Event1st International Joint Workshop on Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare, and Hybrid Models for Coupling Deductive and Inductive Reasoning, HC@AIxIA+HYDRA 2025 - Bologna, Italy
Duration: 25 Oct 202526 Oct 2025

Publication series

NameCommunications in Computer and Information Science
Volume2830 CCIS
ISSN (Print)1865-0929
ISSN (Electronic)1865-0937

Conference

Conference1st International Joint Workshop on Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare, and Hybrid Models for Coupling Deductive and Inductive Reasoning, HC@AIxIA+HYDRA 2025
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityBologna
Period25/10/2526/10/25

Keywords

  • Continuous time Bayesian network
  • Intensive care unit
  • Intracranial pressure
  • Traumatic brain injury

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