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Event-based spatiotemporal networks for modelling emergent phenomena in complex systems

  • Matthijs Romeijnders
  • , Michiel van Boven
  • , Francesco Corman
  • , Carl D Modes
  • , Phillip P A Staniczenko
  • , Debabrata Panja*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Complex systems display emergent phenomena that vary significantly across spatial and temporal scales. These variations originate from fine-grained system processes, yet arriving at macroscopic dynamics from micro-level data - particularly when large, high-resolution datasets are available - remains a persistent challenge. Here we develop event-based spatiotemporal networks, a computational modelling framework that encodes system processes as discrete events anchored in space and time. Event-based spatiotemporal networks offer a unified, flexible and efficient approach to generate emergent behaviour in complex systems across space and time from these events. We demonstrate the effectiveness of event-based spatiotemporal networks through two illustrative real-world applications. First, following a local outbreak of a novel respiratory pathogen in the Netherlands, spatiotemporal networks enable fine-grained tracking of transmission routes, infection patterns, superspreaders and superspreading events through space and time. Second, we use spatiotemporal networks to model propagation of delays in a public transportation system (Sihltal-Zürich-Uetliberg-bahn) around Zürich, Switzerland. We also discuss broader uses of event-based spatiotemporal networks in fields like developmental biology and community ecology, where focusing on events rather than static system states can improve data analysis, simulation, and collection strategies.

Original languageEnglish
Article number7007
JournalNature Communications
Volume17
Issue number1
Early online date30 May 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 23 Jul 2026

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