Baseline clinical characteristics of predicted structural and pain progressors in the IMI-APPROACH knee OA cohort

Eefje Martine van Helvoort*, Christoph Ladel, Simon Mastbergen, Margreet Kloppenburg, Francisco J. Blanco, Ida K. Haugen, Francis Berenbaum, Jaume Bacardit, Pawel Widera, Paco M.J. Welsing, Floris Lafeber

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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Abstract

To describe the relations between baseline clinical characteristics of the Applied Public-Private Research enabling OsteoArthritis Clinical Headway (IMI-APPROACH) participants and their predicted probabilities for knee osteoarthritis (OA) structural (S) progression and/or pain (P) progression. Baseline clinical characteristics of the IMI-APPROACH participants were used for this study. Radiographs were evaluated according to Kellgren and Lawrence (K&L grade) and Knee Image Digital Analysis. Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) and Numeric Rating Scale (NRS) were used to evaluate pain. Predicted progression scores for each individual were determined using machine learning models. Pearson correlation coefficients were used to evaluate correlations between scores for predicted progression and baseline characteristics. T-tests and χ2tests were used to evaluate differences between participants with high versus low progression scores. Participants with high S progressions score were found to have statistically significantly less structural damage compared with participants with low S progression scores (minimum Joint Space Width, minJSW 3.56 mm vs 1.63 mm; p<0.001, K&L grade; p=0.028). Participants with high P progression scores had statistically significantly more pain compared with participants with low P progression scores (KOOS pain 51.71 vs 82.11; p<0.001, NRS pain 6.7 vs 2.4; p<0.001). The baseline minJSW of the IMI-APPROACH participants contradicts the idea that the (predicted) course of knee OA follows a pattern of inertia, where patients who have progressed previously are more likely to display further progression. In contrast, for pain progressors the pattern of inertia seems valid, since participants with high P score already have more pain at baseline compared with participants with a low P score.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere001759
Pages (from-to)1-7
JournalRMD Open
Volume7
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 23 Aug 2021

Keywords

  • epidemiology
  • health care
  • knee osteoarthritis
  • outcome and process assessment
  • Pain
  • Knee Joint
  • Humans
  • Osteoarthritis, Knee/diagnostic imaging
  • Disease Progression
  • Cohort Studies

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